I think the media is presenting the wrong post-election debate. They're
going on and on about electoral constituencies according to race,
religion, ethnicity, etc. I don't think a successful presidential
candidate needs to win the Hispanic vote or the Catholic vote or the
Asian vote or whatever.
Instead, I think the issue really is economic class. I think Obama
won because a lot of lower and lower-middle class voters voted for him
because they absolutely could not identify with Romney. It's true that
Romney was seen as other, but not primarily because he was white male.
People are accustomed to being ruled by white males, and are perfectly
willing to vote for white males (arguably Obama himself is a white
male). Romney lost, I think, because he lost too much of the lower
economic spectrum.
So I think the problem for the Republican party is this: They have
built an enormous platform about one key issue: lowering taxes. But for
a lot of Americans, lowering taxes isn't the issue - it's having enough
money to worry about taxes - it's having a job - it's getting a living
wage - it's getting off unemployment, getting off the dole, and not
being afraid of ever going back on the dole again.
And Romney (with his infamous 47% remark) told all those out-of-work
or part-time-work people that HE DIDN'T CARE ABOUT THEM. Moreover, the
Republican party is telling the bottom economic classes that THE
REPUBLICAN PARTY DOESN'T CARE ABOUT THEM.
And because of the rising INCOME INEQUALITY, the lower economic classes are becoming MORE AND MORE IMPORTANT POLITICALLY.
The Republican Party has put itself in the untenable position of TRYING TO KEEP POOR PEOPLE AWAY FROM THE VOTING BOOTH.
And that, I believe, rather than the Hispanic or whatever vote, is what is going to kill the party.
The
Tea Party members are all middle class people. They have jobs and they
think they're well paid. But they mistakenly think that most Americans
are like them - regard themselves as solidly in the middle class WITH
NO FEAR OF FALLING INTO A LOWER ECONOMIC CLASS.
The people with this fear will choose to vote for the party they perceive will allay that fear. Right now that's the Democrats.
Put another way, the Republicans have failed to demonstrate that cutting taxes will create jobs.
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